transactie modal shift reloaded

“TRANSACTIE MODAL SHIFT RELOADED”
Data driven (joint) decision making
Docent Logistics Engineering
intersection: logistiek - € - mathematics/statistics
value chain management
Co-ordinator minor Airport Seaport Logistics
“research minor” contributing for 7+ years to the
development of mainports, nodes and networks which
companies can benefit from
“Synchromodality”
Sales & Operations Planning
Benchmark airport en seaport
SYNCHROMODALITY
I
resource management
II
III
3
GEOPOLITICAL PLAYGROUND….
Europe moves east wards
Reshoring
China moves west wards
Near shoring
Chinese Ports investments
4
“MODAL SHIFT & INFRASTRUCTURE POLICY”
aim is to guarantee:
• costs reductions
• liveability
• effectiveness and efficiency of the infra structure
WHAT IF THE MODAL SHIFT POLICY FAILS?
or…... the expected growth stagnates…....
less competitive industry
modal split progress
till 2015 in milloin TEU
20000
Figures until 2011 Multimodale
achterlandknooppunten in
Nederland
Kennisinstituut voor
Mobiliteitsbeleid
Johan Visser
Jan Francke
Hugo Curtain
Revised July 2012
18000
16000
14000
From 2011 onwards , figures Port of
Rotterdam
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035
binnenvaart actueel
spoorvervoer actueel
wegvervoer actueel
totaal actueel
binnenvaart prognose
spoorvervoer prognose
wegvervoer prognose
totaal prognose
no
database
database
database
AIMS OF THE DATA BASE FROM THE PERSPECTIVES
modal split progress
till 2015 in milloin TEU
20000
• Users of infra structure
• Costs and emission reduction
• Addaptive responsiveness and flexibility
18000
16000
14000
12000
10000
• Providers of infra structure
• Future requirements
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035
binnenvaart actueel
spoorvervoer actueel
wegvervoer actueel
totaal actueel
binnenvaart prognose
spoorvervoer prognose
wegvervoer prognose
totaal prognose
9
Infra structure
requirements
transport
data shippers
transport
data carriers
data manipulation to investigate the possibilities for:
cargo bundling
NSTR-codes..
modal shift
Infra structure
roads/rail/water ways
uni/bi/tri modal nodes
TMS
database
LZV’s / platooning
ICT-component
Indifference point/ graphs..
motor en fuel
technique
reports inform stakeholders about progress
10
WHAT?
complete the TMS scan with the latest insights
approaching companies that are already scanned plus
evaluation of the previous scan and …...
III
request them to perform another scan
data collection & stuffing the data base
data manipulation of anonymised data to
recognise patterns;
what if + gain-sharing scenario’s
meetings with stakeholders to share the gainsharing options
resource management
11
HOW?
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
KDC’s
BSc & MSc students / student groups
Rijkswaterstaat / ministry of I&M
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CBS
resource management
12