Measuring the stability of typological parameters Dik Bakker Amsterdam Typology TYPOLOGY Typological Stability 2 Typology TYPOLOGY Linguistic Variables Typological Stability 3 Typology TYPOLOGY Linguistic Variables Constituent order: SOV, SVO, VSO, … Typological Stability 4 Typology TYPOLOGY Linguistic Variables Constituent order: Adposition type: SOV, SVO, VSO, … Prep, Post, None Typological Stability 5 Typology TYPOLOGY Linguistic Variables Constituent order: Adposition type: Morphological type: SOV, SVO, VSO, … Prep, Post, None Isol, Aggl, Fuse, Polisynt Typological Stability 6 Typology TYPOLOGY Linguistic Variables Constituent order: Adposition type: Morphological type: Align Morph+Synt: SOV, SVO, VSO, … Prep, Post, None Isol, Aggl, Fuse, Polisynt ACC+ACC, ERG+ACC, … Typological Stability 7 Typology TYPOLOGY Linguistic Variables Constituent order: Adposition type: Morphological type: Align Morph+Synt: … SOV, SVO, VSO, … Prep, Post, None Isol, Aggl, Fuse, Polisynt ACC+ACC, ERG+ACC, … Typological Stability 8 Typology TYPOLOGY Linguistic Variables Constituent order: Adposition type: Morphological type: Align Morph+Synt: … SOV, SVO, VSO, … Prep, Post, None Isol, Aggl, Fuse, Polisynt ACC+ACC, ERG+ACC, … Stability ??? Typological Stability 9 Typology TYPOLOGY Linguistic Variables Constituent order: Adposition type: Morphological type: Align Morph+Synt: … SOV, SVO, VSO, … Prep, Post, None Isol, Aggl, Fuse, Polisynt ACC+ACC, ERG+ACC, … Stability Diachronically Typological Stability 10 Typology TYPOLOGY Linguistic Variables Constituent order: Adposition type: Morphological type: Align Morph+Synt: … SOV, SVO, VSO, … Prep, Post, None Isol, Aggl, Fuse, Polisynt ACC+ACC, ERG+ACC, … Stability Diachronically Language Contact Typological Stability 11 Overview Typological Stability 12 Overview 1. Measuring Stability: the data Typological Stability 13 Overview 1. Measuring Stability: the data 2. Measuring Stability: method 1 Typological Stability 14 Overview 1. Measuring Stability: the data 2. Measuring Stability: method 1 3. Measuring Stability: method 2 Typological Stability 15 Overview 1. Measuring Stability: the data 2. Measuring Stability: method 1 3. Measuring Stability: method 2 4. Comparing 1 & 2 Typological Stability 16 Overview 1. Measuring Stability: the data 2. Measuring Stability: method 1 3. Measuring Stability: method 2 4. Comparing 1 & 2 5. Some of the problems Typological Stability 17 Data Typological Stability 18 Data IDEALLY Historical linguistics: Typological Stability 19 Data IDEALLY Proto-Germanic Historical linguistics: SOV Typological Stability 20 Data IDEALLY Historical linguistics: Proto-Germanic SOV German Dutch SOV SOV Typological Stability 21 Data IDEALLY Historical linguistics: Proto-Germanic SOV German Dutch English Danish … Faroese SOV SOV SVO SVO SVO Typological Stability 22 Data IDEALLY Historical linguistics: Proto-Germanic SOV German Dutch English Danish … Faroese SOV SOV SVO SVO 3000 years: 0.2 SVO Typological Stability 23 Data IDEALLY Historical linguistics: Proto-Germanic SOV Typological Stability 0.2 24 Data IDEALLY Historical linguistics: Proto-Germanic Romance SOV SVO Typological Stability 0.2 0.9 25 Data IDEALLY Historical linguistics: Proto-Germanic Romance … Berber SOV SVO 0.2 0.9 VSO 0.6 Typological Stability 26 Data IDEALLY Historical linguistics: Proto-Germanic Romance … Berber … Otomian SOV SVO 0.2 0.9 VSO 0.6 VOS 0.4 Typological Stability 27 Data IDEALLY Historical linguistics: Proto-Germanic Romance … Berber … Otomian SOV SVO 0.2 0.9 VSO 0.6 VOS 0.4 MEAN Constituent Order: Typological Stability 0.52 (var high) 28 Data IDEALLY Proto-Germanic … Historical linguistics: SOV SOV Typological Stability 0.2 … MEAN: 0.31 29 Data IDEALLY Historical linguistics: Proto-Germanic … SOV SOV 0.2 … Romance … SVO SVO 0.9 … Typological Stability MEAN: 0.31 0.83 30 Data Historical Data ? Typological Stability 31 Data Historical Data (reconstruction) … Typological Stability 32 Data Method: hypothetical reconstruction on the basis of a large typological database Typological Stability 33 Data: WALS World Atlas of Language Structures Haspelmath, Martin, Matthew S. Dryer, David Gil & Bernard Comrie (eds) (2005) Oxford: Oxford University Press. Typological Stability 34 Data: WALS World Atlas of Language Structures Variables: 139 (Phon; Morph; Synt; Lex; etc) Typological Stability 35 72. Imperative-Hortative systems Typological Stability 36 Data: WALS WALS – database: Variables: 139 (Phon; Morph; Synt; Lex; etc) Typological Stability 37 Data: WALS WALS – database: Variables: 139 (Phon; Morph; Synt; Lex; etc) Authors: Bickel Comrie Corbet Dryer Haspelmath Nichols Siewierska … Typological Stability 38 Data: WALS WALS – database: Variables: Values: 139 (Phon; Morph; Synt; Lex; etc) 2 to 9 (mean 4.7) Typological Stability 39 Data: WALS WALS – database: Variables: 139 (Phon; Morph; Synt; Lex; etc) Values: 2 to 9 (mean 4.7) Languages: 2558 Typological Stability 40 Data: WALS WALS – database: Variables: Values: Languages: Per Var: 139 (Phon; Morph; Synt; Lex; etc) 2 to 9 (mean 4.7) 2558 417 lgs (min 116; max 1343) Typological Stability 41 Data: WALS WALS – database: Variables: Values: Languages: Per Var: Total: 139 (Phon; Morph; Synt; Lex; etc) 2 to 9 (mean 4.7) 2558 417 lgs (min 116; max 1343) ~ 58,000 datapoints (= 16%) Typological Stability 42 Data: WALS WALS database Typological Stability 43 Data: WALS WALS database LG V1 V2 V3 V4 L1 L2 L3 Typological Stability 44 Data: WALS WALS database LG V1 V2 V3 V4 L1 L2 L3 Typological Stability 45 Data: WALS WALS database LG V1 V2 V3 V4 L1 L2 L3 Typological Stability 46 Data: WALS & Ethnologue WALS database LG V1 V2 V3 V4 L1 L2 L3 Ethnologue classification Typological Stability 47 Data: WALS & Ethnologue WALS database LG V1 V2 V3 V4 L1 L2 L3 Ethnologue classification Typological Stability 48 Data: WALS & Ethnologue WALS database LG V1 V2 V3 V4 L1 L2 L3 C Ethnologue classification Typological Stability 49 Data: WALS & Ethnologue WALS database LG V1 V2 V3 V4 L1 L2 L3 Ethnologue classification Typological Stability F O R M U L A 50 Stability #1 Typological Stability 51 Stability #1 WALS database LG V1 L1 X L2 Y L3 Z V2 V3 V4 Typological Stability 52 Stability #1 WALS database LG V1 L1 X L2 Y L3 Z V2 V3 V4 Ethnologue classification Typological Stability 53 Stability #1 WALS database LG V1 L1 X L2 Y L3 Z V2 V3 V4 Ethnologue classification Typological Stability 54 Stability #1 WALS database LG V1 L1 X L2 Y L3 Z V2 V3 V4 Ethnologue classification Typological Stability 55 Stability #1 WALS database LG V1 L1 X L2 Y L3 Z V2 V3 V4 Ethnologue classification Typological Stability 56 Stability #1 WALS database LG V1 V2 L1 X L2 Y L3 Z V3 V4 Ethnologue classification Typological Stability 57 Stability #1 WALS database LG V1 V2 L1 X L2 Y L3 Z V3 V4 Ethnologue classification Typological Stability 58 Stability #1 WALS database LG V1 V2 L1 X L2 Y L3 Z V3 V4 Ethnologue classification Typological Stability 59 Stability #1 WALS database LG V1 V2 V3 L1 X L2 Y L3 Z V4 Ethnologue classification Typological Stability 60 Stability #1 WALS database LG V1 V2 V3 L1 X L2 Y L3 Z V4 Ethnologue classification Typological Stability 61 Stability #1 WALS database LG V1 V2 V3 L1 X L2 Y L3 Z V4 Ethnologue classification Typological Stability 62 Stability #1 Group i Typological Stability 63 Stability #1 Group i Assumption: most frequent value = original Typological Stability 64 Stability #1 Group i Typological Stability 65 Stability #1 Group i Typological Stability 66 Stability #1 Group i Typological Stability 67 Stability #1 Group i Typological Stability 68 Stability #1 Group i Typological Stability 69 Stability #1 ? Typological Stability Group i 70 Stability #1 Group i Formula: Stability = ??? Typological Stability 71 Stability #1 Group i Stability = 1.0 Typological Stability 72 Stability #1 Group i Stability > 1.0 Typological Stability 73 Stability #1 Group i Stability (weighted) = (5*1)+(2*2)+(1*3) / 8 = 1.5 Typological Stability 74 Stability #1 Group i Stability (weighted) = 4.5 Typological Stability 75 Stability #1 Typological Stability 76 Stability #1 Stability = mean / lowest groups Typological Stability 77 Stability #1 Stability = mean/highest groups (phylum) Typological Stability 78 Stability #1 Stability = mean / genus (Dryer) 3000-4000 Typological Stability 79 Stability #1 Typological Stability 80 Stability #1 Stability factor Fct1C per variable Level: Genus Number of languages: 2220 Minimum group size: 2 1. 2. 3. 4. MADABS CORSEX MADFRV NICMTP Absence Common Consonants Sex-based Gender Front Rounded Vowels M-T Pronouns Typological Stability Fct1C 1.046 1.049 1.053 1.055 81 Stability #1 Stability factor Fct1C per variable Level: Genus Number of languages: 2220 Minimum group size: 2 1. 2. 3. 4. … 136. 137. 138. 139. MADABS CORSEX MADFRV NICMTP Absence Common Consonants Sex-based Gender Front Rounded Vowels M-T Pronouns Fct1C 1.046 1.049 1.053 1.055 GOEFAC DRYIND DRYDEF KAYBCC Weight-Sensitive Stress Indefinite Articles Definite Articles Basic Colour Categories 1.432 1.437 1.454 1.480 Typological Stability 82 Stability #1 CAT nvals Typological Stability Fct1C 83 Stability #1 CAT 1. Word Order nvals Fct1C 4.6 1.17 Typological Stability 84 Stability #1 CAT 1. Word Order … 4. Lexicon nvals Fct1C 4.6 1.17 4.0 1.20 Typological Stability 85 Stability #1 1. … 4. … 8. 9. CAT nvals Fct1C Word Order 4.6 1.17 Lexicon 4.0 1.20 Phonology Morphology 4.9 4.1 1.22 1.23 Typological Stability 86 Stability #1 1. … 4. … 8. 9. CAT nvals Fct1C Word Order 4.6 1.17 Lexicon 4.0 1.20 Phonology Morphology 4.9 4.1 1.22 1.23 Typological Stability 87 Stability #1 Correlations: Genera vs. Phylum: 0.869 (p < 0.01) Typological Stability 88 Stability #2 Typological Stability 89 Stability #2 VARIABLE i (nvals = 3): Typological Stability 90 Stability #2 VARIABLE i (nvals = 3): A B C Typological Stability 91 Stability #2 VARIABLE i (nvals = 3): G1(8) A B C 8 0 0 Typological Stability 92 Stability #2 VARIABLE i (nvals = 3): A B C G1(8) 8 0 0 G2(7) 1 0 6 Typological Stability 93 Stability #2 VARIABLE i (nvals = 3): A B C G1(8) 8 0 0 G2(7) 1 0 6 G3(5) … 1 3 1 Typological Stability 94 Stability #2 VARIABLE i (nvals = 3): A B C G1(8) 8 0 0 G2(7) 1 0 6 G3(5) … 1 3 1 Assumption: Highest = Original Typological Stability 95 Stability #2 VARIABLE i (nvals = 3): A B C O X G1(8) 8 0 0 8 0 G2(7) 1 0 6 6 1 G3(5) … 1 3 1 3 2 Assumption: Highest = Original Typological Stability 96 Stability #2 VARIABLE i (nvals = 3): A B C O X prob G1(8) 8 0 0 8 0 0.0005 G2(7) 1 0 6 6 1 0.0192 G3(5) … 1 3 1 3 2 0.2469 Assumption: Highest = Original Typological Stability 97 Stability #2 Measure Of Stability VARIABLE i (nvals = 3): A B C O X prob G1(8) 8 0 0 8 0 0.0005 G2(7) 1 0 6 6 1 0.0192 G3(5) … 1 3 1 3 2 0.4914 Assumption: Highest = Original Typological Stability 98 Stability #2 Stability factor Fct2B per variable Level: Genus Number of languages: 2220 Minimum group size: 2 Typological Stability 99 Stability #2 Stability factor Fct2B per variable Level: Genus Number of languages: 2220 Minimum group size: 2 1. 2. 3. 4. MADABS DRYADP DRYREL MADFRV Absence Common Consonants Order Aspos-N Order RelCl-N Front Rounded Vowels Typological Stability Fct2B 0.142 0.144 0.185 0.187 100 Stability #2 Stability factor Fct2B per variable Level: Genus Number of languages: 2220 Minimum group size: 2 1. 2. 3. 4. ... 136. 137. 138. 139. MADABS DRYADP DRYREL MADFRV Absence Common Consonants Order Aspos-N Order RelCl-N Front Rounded Vowels Fct2B 0.142 0.144 0.185 0.187 BICHDC KAYBCC BICHDN BICSYN Head-Dept Clause Basic Colour Categories Head-Dept NP Inflectional Synthesis 0.494 0.500 0.505 0.528 Typological Stability 101 Stability #2 Stability factor Fct2B per variable Level: Genus Number of languages: 2220 Minimum group size: 2 1. 2. 3. 4. ... 136. 137. 138. 139. MADABS DRYADP DRYREL MADFRV Absence Common Consonants Order Aspos-N Order RelCl-N Front Rounded Vowels Fct2B 0.142 0.144 0.185 0.187 BICHDC KAYBCC BICHDN BICSYN Head-Dept Clause Basic Colour Categories Head-Dept NP Inflectional Synthesis 0.494 0.500 0.505 0.528 Typological Stability 102 Stability #2 Stability factor Fct2B per variable Level: Genus Number of languages: 2220 Minimum group size: 2 1. MADABS 2. DRYADP 3. DRYREL 4. MADFRV ... 136. BICHDC 137. KAYBCC 138. BICHDN 139. BICSYN Absence Common Consonants Order Aspos-N Order RelCl-N Front Rounded Vowels Fct2B Fct1C 0.142 1 0.144 12 0.185 43 0.187 3 Head-Dept Clause Basic Colour Categories Head-Dept NP Inflectional Synthesis 0.494 0.500 0.505 0.528 Typological Stability 133 139 123 109 103 Stability #2 Stability factor Fct2B per variable Level: Genus Number of languages: 2220 Minimum group size: 2 1. MADABS 2. DRYADP 3. DRYREL 4. MADFRV ... 136. BICHDC 137. KAYBCC 138. BICHDN 139. BICSYN Pearson 0.568; p < 0.01 Anova p = 0.000 Absence Common Consonants Order Aspos-N Order RelCl-N Front Rounded Vowels Fct2B Fct1C 0.142 1 0.144 12 0.185 43 0.187 3 Head-Dept Clause Basic Colour Categories Head-Dept NP Inflectional Synthesis 0.494 0.500 0.505 0.528 Typological Stability 133 139 123 109 104 Stability #2 1. 2. … 4. … 9. CAT nvals Fct1C Word Order Phonology 4.6 4.9 0.241 0.334 Lexicon 4.0 0.347 Morphology 4.1 0.383 Typological Stability 105 Stability #2 1. 2. … 4. … 9. CAT nvals Fct2B Fct1C Word Order Phonology 4.6 4.9 0.241 0.334 1. 8. Lexicon 4.0 0.347 4. Morphology 4.1 0.383 9. Typological Stability 106 Stability #2 1. 2. … 4. … 9. CAT nvals Fct2B Fct1C Word Order Phonology 4.6 4.9 0.241 0.334 1. 8. Lexicon 4.0 0.347 4. Morphology 4.1 0.383 9. Typological Stability 107 Problems Typological Stability 108 Problems a. Most frequent = original BWO in Germanic: SOV (2) vs. SVO (8) phylum: not significantly different … all change from value A to B? (n > 2) Typological Stability 109 Problems a. Most frequent = original b. Different number of values / variable Typological Stability 110 Problems a. Most frequent = original b. Different number of values / variable c. Different distributions values / transitions blocked Typological Stability 111 Problems a. Most frequent = original b. Different number of values / variable c. Different distributions values / transitions blocked d. Different group size (1(!) - 90) Typological Stability 112 Problems a. Most frequent = original b. Different number of values / variable c. Different distributions values / transitions blocked d. Different group size (1(!) - 90) e. Different distribution of variables (WALS = empty) Typological Stability 113 Problems a. Most frequent = original b. Different number of values / variable c. Different distributions values / transitions blocked d. Different group size (1(!) - 90) e. Different distribution of variables (WALS = empty) f. Right statistics/measurements: - distributions <> normal - combinatorial explosion groups > 12 lgs Typological Stability 114 Problems a. Most frequent = original b. Different number of values / variable c. Different distributions values / transitions blocked d. Different group size (1(!) - 90) e. Different distribution of variables (WALS = empty) f. Right statistics/measurements g. Strategic comparison with diachronic data when available Typological Stability 115 Solution The Real Thing Is The Best Typological Stability 116 ? Typological Stability 117